Carbon Market
Regulated Market
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Emerged from the Kyoto Protocol (1997).
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It is a broad and mandatory market, with government-imposed targets for the progressive reduction of carbon emissions.
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Composed of mandatory reductions, where the price of CO₂ is higher.
Voluntary Market
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Private financing occurs for climate-action projects.
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Composed of voluntary reductions.
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Encourages innovation in projects to reduce the costs of emerging climate technologies.
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Certificates are issued by certifying entities, such as VERRA (VCS – Verified Carbon Standard).
Carbon Credit Certification
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Eligibility: Compliance with existing, independent, and internationally endorsed standards: IPCC, VERRA, GOLD STANDARD, CERCARBON, AMERICAN CARBON REGISTRY, CLIMATE ACTION RESERVE, PLAN VIVO.
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Feasibility: Takes into account the viability of implementing the project and the volume of CO₂ to be generated.
Size of the Carbon Market
Global Market
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Emissions: 55 billion tCO₂e/year.
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Only 12 billion mitigated (99% — 11.9 billion in regulated markets).
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Global voluntary market demand exceeded 1 billion in 2021.
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The Paris Agreement (2015), COP21, established new targets for mitigating climate change.
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Market growth: Demand expected to grow 15x by 2023 and up to 100x by 2050.
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2021: USD 1 billion recorded / 2030: Expected to reach several billions (McKinsey).
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European market: At least 55% reduction in emissions by 2030 — with traceable verification.
Market in Brazil
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COP 26 (2021): Commitments to combat deforestation and reduce CH₄.
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Country holds 40% of the world’s tropical forests (FAO).
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Approximately 5 million credits in the voluntary market (VCM). Potential for 26 billion credits/year.
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Market growth: 30% of the global population demands that companies compensate their emissions.
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Brazil could supply 48.7% of global carbon-credit demand by 2030.