Carbon Market

Regulated Market

  • Emerged from the Kyoto Protocol (1997).

  • It is a broad and mandatory market, with government-imposed targets for the progressive reduction of carbon emissions.

  • Composed of mandatory reductions, where the price of CO₂ is higher.

Voluntary Market

  • Private financing occurs for climate-action projects.

  • Composed of voluntary reductions.

  • Encourages innovation in projects to reduce the costs of emerging climate technologies.

  • Certificates are issued by certifying entities, such as VERRA (VCS – Verified Carbon Standard).

Carbon Credit Certification

  • Eligibility: Compliance with existing, independent, and internationally endorsed standards: IPCC, VERRA, GOLD STANDARD, CERCARBON, AMERICAN CARBON REGISTRY, CLIMATE ACTION RESERVE, PLAN VIVO.

  • Feasibility: Takes into account the viability of implementing the project and the volume of CO₂ to be generated.

Size of the Carbon Market

Global Market

  • Emissions: 55 billion tCO₂e/year.

  • Only 12 billion mitigated (99% — 11.9 billion in regulated markets).

  • Global voluntary market demand exceeded 1 billion in 2021.

  • The Paris Agreement (2015), COP21, established new targets for mitigating climate change.

  • Market growth: Demand expected to grow 15x by 2023 and up to 100x by 2050.

  • 2021: USD 1 billion recorded / 2030: Expected to reach several billions (McKinsey).

  • European market: At least 55% reduction in emissions by 2030 — with traceable verification.

Market in Brazil

  • COP 26 (2021): Commitments to combat deforestation and reduce CH₄.

  • Country holds 40% of the world’s tropical forests (FAO).

  • Approximately 5 million credits in the voluntary market (VCM). Potential for 26 billion credits/year.

  • Market growth: 30% of the global population demands that companies compensate their emissions.

  • Brazil could supply 48.7% of global carbon-credit demand by 2030.